Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.007069 0.007947 0.008908 0.010039 0.011335 0.012780 0.014516
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.005566 0.006732 0.008116 0.009891 0.012122 0.014854 0.018480
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.004811 0.006103 0.007723 0.009926 0.012874 0.016727 0.022218
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.004191 0.005517 0.007254 0.009727 0.013207 0.018005 0.025259
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.003851 0.005239 0.007127 0.009928 0.014053 0.020029 0.029570
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.003513 0.004914 0.006884 0.009913 0.014557 0.021583 0.033365
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.003117 0.004463 0.006408 0.009489 0.014375 0.022047 0.035470
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.002879 0.004216 0.006200 0.009436 0.014744 0.023394 0.039186
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.002793 0.004186 0.006309 0.009883 0.015952 0.026240 0.045901
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.002540 0.003875 0.005954 0.009536 0.015789 0.026717 0.048375
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.002340 0.003631 0.005682 0.009297 0.015777 0.027446 0.051409
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002213 0.003494 0.005570 0.009316 0.016217 0.029039 0.056370
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002153 0.003466 0.005646 0.009687 0.017371 0.032178 0.065168
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002007 0.003283 0.005444 0.009541 0.017539 0.033434 0.070201
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001905 0.003167 0.005347 0.009575 0.018055 0.035451 0.077288
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001779 0.003000 0.005143 0.009384 0.018092 0.036459 0.082183
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001719 0.002945 0.005139 0.009577 0.018938 0.039321 0.092135
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001636 0.002842 0.005036 0.009563 0.019343 0.041252 0.100109
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001510 0.002650 0.004752 0.009155 0.018846 0.041040 0.102373
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001438 0.002555 0.004646 0.009105 0.019137 0.042730 0.110188
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001426 0.002574 0.004762 0.009534 0.020568 0.047398 0.127504
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001331 0.002425 0.004534 0.009201 0.020179 0.047442 0.131124
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001254 0.002306 0.004361 0.008972 0.020014 0.048046 0.136613